- Osama bin Laden succeeded in provoking the United States attack a Muslim country and get mired down in an unwinnable war (though not the country he was hoping for — Afghanistan).
- Al Qaeda tactics have worked to (further) isolate the United States in Iraq by making NGOs and other coalition members withdraw their forces or not deploy them in the first place.
- L Paul Bremer and his policy makers screwed up big-time by alienating the Sunnis (disbanding the Iraqi army, firing Ba'ath party members, not being up front and honest about Iraq's problems).
- By early 2006, almost every active American combat unit will have been deployed in Iraq twice.
- The National Guard and Reserves make up 40% of the forces in Iraq, and the Guard is on its way to a meltdown.
- The Taliban operate openly in parts of Pakistan bordering Afghanistan, and are not going to go away anytime soon.
- The core of the Al Qaeda leadership may be killed or captured, but they no longer need training camps and a willing host government; amateurs all over the place are willing to watch their videos, etc. and learn how to make and explode bombs).
Sunday, September 11, 2005
two nytimes articles
Lost at Tora Bora: How the Taliban leadership managed to escape Tora Bora, and why some people are reluctant to kill or capture him. Taking Stock of the Forever War: This one is very depressing. In short, things are going badly for the United States.
posted: 9/11/2005 04:35:00 PM